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[Special Interview with Young-sun Ha]
Responding to North Korean Nuclear Threat
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Young-sun Ha, Chairman of the East Asia Institute (Emeritus Professor at Seoul National University), discusses South Korea’s options in responding to the escalating tensions on the Korean Peninsula as North Korea adopted an aggressive nuclear doctrine and law declaring itself to be a nuclear weapons state, and demonstrated its ability to carry out strikes with tactical nuclear weapons. Chairman Ha claims that South Korea’s nuclear weapons acquisition or deployment of U.S. tactical nuclear weapons would not bring the expected outcomes while only weakening the legitimacy of pursuing North Korea’s denuclearization. In this regard, combining South Korea’s Three-Axis Defense System with the United States’ integrated deterrence system would be a realistic and effective approach for South Korean security and stability on the Korean Peninsula.
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[Global NK Interview] U.S.-China Rivalry and the Future of the North Korea’s Denuclearization
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Jia Qingguo, Professor at Peking University, claims that the sanctions imposed on North Korea have failed to achieve the goal and the rising tension between the U.S. and China and the Russia-Ukraine war would continue to make it difficult to resume the denuclearization process of North Korea. Dr. Jia argues that Beijing will highly likely not cooperate with Washington, given that the Biden administration maintains its policy to isolate and contain China. He emphasizes that as long as the two great powers remain divided in their approach to North Korea, any kind of Seoul’s effort to address the North Korea problem will not likely be effective.
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[Global NK Commentary] Evaluation and Suggestion on the ROK-U.S. Extended Deterrence Strategy and Consultation Group Meeting
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Jungsup Kim, Vice President of Research and Education at the Sejong Institute, evaluates ROK-U.S. Extended Deterrence Strategy and Consultation Group (EDSCG) meeting held on September 16, 2022. He claims that the clear warning of an “overwhelming and decisive response” to any North Korean nuclear attack and Washington’s ironclad commitment to drawing on the full range of its military capabilities to provide extended deterrence for South Korea are positive outcomes. However, he indicates that they did not elaborate on how the “tailored deterrence” strategy could be applied to the Korean Peninsula. To address this issue, Dr. Kim highlights the need to institutionalize the concept of extended deterrence and suggests expanding opportunities for information sharing with the U.S., utilizing various consultative bodies to provide an effective extended nuclear deterrent, and stabilizing the crisis while responding to the North Korean nuclear threats.
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